Connor Dewar's 2025-26 Season: A Deep Dive Analysis
Connor Dewar's 2025-26 season was a testament to his versatility and impact as a bottom-six forward. Dewar's performance was a key factor in the Penguins' success, particularly in their revamped bottom six and special teams play.
Offensive Excellence and Consistency
Dewar's offensive output was a revelation. He set new career highs in goals (14) and points (30), with 13 of those goals coming in the first 52 games, establishing a 20-goal pace. This consistency was a stark contrast to the previous season, where his offensive production was more sporadic. Dewar's ability to maintain a high goal-scoring rate over a full 82-game schedule is a significant improvement and a testament to his hard work and dedication.
January was a standout month for Dewar, with seven goals and four assists in 15 games. His 30.4 shooting percentage in January was unsustainable, but it contributed to his impressive output during that stretch. However, this unsustainable performance was followed by a decline in shooting percentage and offensive production after the Olympic break, with only one goal in the final 26 games.
Defensive Mastery and Special Teams Impact
Dewar's defensive prowess was equally impressive. He played a vital role in the Penguins' bottom six, acting as a key component of the vaunted fourth line alongside Blake Lizotte and Noel Acciari. This line was a force to be reckoned with, posting a 53.5 CF% and 53.5 xGF%, and driving play in the defensive zone. Dewar's ability to contribute defensively, even without Lizotte's significant injury stretches, showcases his versatility and importance to the team.
Dewar's special teams impact was also noteworthy. He led the Penguins' penalty kill in total minutes, averaging 2:41 minutes per game, and was a key player in the league's sixth-best penalty kill unit. His commitment to staying out of the penalty box, with just seven minor penalties committed, further highlights his defensive awareness and importance to the team's special teams success.
Advanced Stats and Team Impact
Dewar's advanced stats paint a comprehensive picture of his impact. His Corsi For% of 50.9% ranked 7th among the team's forwards, and his Goals For% of 57.5% was 5th. These metrics, along with his xGF% and Scoring Chance%, demonstrate Dewar's ability to create and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Dewar's on-ice save% of .916% was also impressive, indicating his ability to make crucial saves when needed.
Comparative Analysis and Future Expectations
Comparing Dewar's performance to his short stint with the Penguins last season and his play with the Toronto Maple Leafs, it's evident that he made significant improvements. His combined CF% of 46.0% in 2024-25 skyrocketed to 50.9% this season, and his GF% improved from 38.5% to 57.5%. These advancements showcase Dewar's growth and his ability to adapt to different teams and roles.
Looking ahead, Dewar's real value lies in his special teams role and defensive contributions. He will be expected to continue as the Penguins' top penalty killer, and his line is likely to remain intact with Blake Lizotte's return. Dewar's ability to create havoc and drive play, even without Lizotte, makes him a valuable asset to the team.
Conclusion: A Perfect Fit and Future Success
Connor Dewar's 2025-26 season was a perfect fit for the Penguins, showcasing his versatility, defensive prowess, and offensive impact. His new two-year deal and pay raise are well-deserved, and he has quickly become one of the team's best depth forwards and penalty killers. Dewar's ability to contribute at both ends of the ice, coupled with his hard work and dedication, positions him for continued success in the NHL.
